Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.666918 0.761966 0.864699 0.983856 1.118127 1.264609 1.436380
2025-03-16 0.534103 0.666228 0.820743 1.014217 1.249391 1.525346 1.873036
2025-03-23 0.445540 0.602509 0.799780 1.064486 1.408794 1.839698 2.417851
2025-03-30 0.361359 0.527433 0.750740 1.070299 1.512692 2.099834 2.933671
2025-04-06 0.304684 0.477369 0.724508 1.099604 1.649048 2.417741 3.566088
2025-04-13 0.247679 0.415428 0.670251 1.079200 1.710886 2.639151 4.092402
2025-04-20 0.216671 0.386708 0.659341 1.119383 1.864437 3.007978 4.873581
2025-04-27 0.192428 0.364048 0.653449 1.165018 2.030399 3.412481 5.753277
2025-05-04 0.167073 0.334479 0.630856 1.178651 2.144573 3.746392 6.556746
2025-05-11 0.144398 0.305315 0.603844 1.179611 2.235602 4.050031 7.340484
2025-05-18 0.125488 0.279641 0.578705 1.179335 2.322663 4.353762 8.152917
2025-05-25 0.110678 0.259312 0.560186 1.187990 2.425496 4.693416 9.059358
2025-06-01 0.099203 0.244126 0.549898 1.212018 2.561856 5.110666 10.154148
2025-06-08 0.086488 0.223726 0.525681 1.204376 2.635405 5.419110 11.079669
2025-06-15 0.078539 0.212790 0.519822 1.233969 2.786798 5.890246 12.358802
2025-06-22 0.068663 0.195180 0.496315 1.221822 2.849746 6.194050 13.341370
2025-06-29 0.062230 0.184972 0.488133 1.242583 2.984972 6.655501 14.680780
2025-07-06 0.053708 0.167430 0.459560 1.211886 3.002848 6.876257 15.548834
2025-07-13 0.049910 0.162147 0.460397 1.251399 3.183853 7.457910 17.222505
2025-07-20 0.046813 0.158247 0.464137 1.298492 3.387687 8.107460 19.097730
2025-07-27 0.042541 0.149925 0.454866 1.311268 3.511079 8.590742 20.653240
2025-08-03 0.038248 0.140588 0.441290 1.310835 3.601956 9.008802 22.100111
2025-08-10 0.034426 0.131913 0.428125 1.309562 3.690363 9.428889 23.587353